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Africa’s Security Future in Global Power Shifts

Africa stands at the center of one of the most complex security environments in its modern history. While the continent has long faced internal instability, today’s challenges are amplified by the convergence of terrorism, political upheaval, climate pressures, economic fragility, and intensifying great-power rivalry.  These overlapping dynamics are reshaping Africa’s strategic landscape and demand a fresh, multidimensional approach to peace and security. Terrorism remains the most visible threat. Across the Sahel: Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, and parts of Chad: groups aligned with Al-Qaeda and the Islamic State have entrenched themselves by exploiting governance deficits, intercommunal tensions, and widespread poverty.  Burkina Faso has experienced unprecedented levels of violence, with entire towns besieged and critical supply routes cut off. Mali continues to face territorial encroachments by militants following the withdrawal of international peacekeepers.  Niger, onc...

China’s Nuclear Surge Reshapes Indo-Pacific Security

The 2026 Munich Security Report paints a stark picture of an international order under demolition. It describes a world entering “wrecking-ball politics,” where destruction of existing norms often supersedes careful reform. Nowhere is this more consequential than in the Indo-Pacific. As the United States recalibrates its global role and China accelerates its bid for regional dominance, the strategic balance in Asia is undergoing structural transformation. China’s rapid expansion and modernization of its nuclear weapons infrastructure including new or upgraded facilities reportedly in Sichuan and long-standing sites like Lop Nur adds a dangerous new layer to this evolving security landscape. The Munich Security Report’s Indo-Pacific chapter emphasizes a central dilemma: US allies increasingly question Washington’s reliability while confronting an emboldened Beijing. The report notes that Indo-Pacific actors lack institutional mechanisms comparable to NATO or the European Union t...

Negeri Sembilan Tests Unity Government's Political Contradictions

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  The nomination day for the 2026 Negeri Sembilan state election has exposed one of the most significant political contradictions confronting Malaysia's Unity Government. Barisan Nasional (BN), while remaining a governing partner alongside Pakatan Harapan (PH) at the federal level, has chosen to cooperate electorally with Perikatan Nasional (PN) in the Negeri Sembilan state election, positioning the alliance to contest independently against both PH and Bersatu. Coming immediately after BN's convincing victory in Johor, this new electoral arrangement raises a far more consequential question than who will govern Negeri Sembilan. It raises fundamental doubts about the long-term coherence and sustainability of the Unity Government itself. The Johor election had already strengthened perceptions that BN was gradually rebuilding the political capital it lost following its historic defeat in the 2018 general election. Winning comfortably in UMNO's birthplace demonstrated that...

Johor Victory Signals Barisan Nasional's Solo Comeback?

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The outcome of the Johor state election on 11 July 2026 will inevitably be interpreted as more than a state-level political contest.  If Barisan Nasional (BN) secures a convincing victory, the result is likely to reshape political calculations far beyond Johor, raising an important national question: Is this the beginning of BN's return as an independent political force ahead of Malaysia's 16th General Election (GE16)? For much of Malaysia's post-independence history, BN was synonymous with political stability and electoral dominance. Between 1957 and 2018, the coalition governed Malaysia uninterruptedly, relying on an extensive grassroots machinery, a broad multiracial coalition, and a reputation for delivering economic development.  However, the 2018 general election fundamentally altered Malaysia's political landscape. The collapse of BN's long-held dominance ushered in an era of fragmented politics, unstable governing coalitions, and shifting parliamentary all...

PACOM Return Reshapes ASEAN's Strategic Security Landscape

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  The United States' decision to restore the name Pacific Command (PACOM), replacing the Indo-Pacific Command established in 2018, may appear to be a mere bureaucratic adjustment. However, in international politics, symbolism often carries strategic significance. For Malaysia and ASEAN, the reversion raises important questions about the future of regional security, the South China Sea dispute, and the long-term relevance of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (QUAD). When the command was renamed the Indo-Pacific Command under President Donald Trump's first administration, it reflected Washington's broader strategic vision of linking the Indian and Pacific Oceans into a single geopolitical theatre. More importantly, it recognised India's growing role as a strategic counterweight to China's expanding influence. The concept also reinforced the importance of partnerships with Japan, Australia, and India through the QUAD while strengthening America's commitment...

Securing Cyberspace, Safeguarding Malaysia’s Future

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  As Malaysia accelerates its digital transformation, a new national security challenge is emerging that cannot be ignored. Cyber terrorism is no longer a distant or hypothetical threat confined to Hollywood thrillers or geopolitical rivals. It is a real and evolving danger capable of disrupting critical infrastructure, destabilising economies, spreading extremist ideologies, and threatening public safety. The digital battlefield has become as significant as land, sea, and air, and Malaysia must prepare accordingly. Recent developments demonstrate that cyber threats are growing in both sophistication and impact. Cybercriminals and extremist groups increasingly exploit digital platforms to recruit followers, spread propaganda, raise funds, and launch attacks against essential services. The cyberattack on Malaysia Airports Holdings Berhad (MAHB) in March 2025, reportedly accompanied by a ransom demand, was a stark reminder that the nation's critical infrastructure and strategic...

Bersama Could Decide Malaysia’s Political Future

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  Malaysia’s next general election may not simply be a contest between established coalitions. It could become the election that determines whether a new political axis emerges — one capable of permanently reshaping the country’s political culture for decades. In that equation, Rafizi Ramli’s Parti Bersama Malaysia may become the most pivotal force in GE16, not necessarily because it will immediately win Putrajaya, but because it could fundamentally alter how political power is negotiated, distributed, and contested in Malaysia. For over two decades, Malaysian politics has revolved around large coalition structures dominated by ethnic bargaining and personality-centric leadership. Even after the collapse of Barisan Nasional’s long monopoly in 2018, the political system remained trapped within familiar patterns: coalition instability, factional defections, race-based mobilization, and elite negotiations detached from grassroots frustrations. Voters, particularly younger Mala...